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July 10, 2008

The Long Tail of Baby Names

The top baby names, like the top-selling records or most-watched TV shows or you-name-it, command less and less market share:

babynames "The diversity in U.S. baby names has exploded since the 1950s. Back then, a quarter of all boys and girls got one of the top 10 baby names, according to Laura Wattenberg, author of "The Baby Name Wizard" (Broadway, 2005). In recent times, the top 10 names account for only one tenth of all baby names, Wattenberg writes. Her blog has an interactive tool [screenshot shown] that displays the historical popularity of thousands of names from the 1880s to now."

From LiveScience. Thanks to Barry Ritholtz for the tip

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For true long tail stats on baby names you need to go outside the US which only records the top 100 in each state and the top 1000 nation-wide. Some regions such as Scotland and Alberta, Canada record the name of every baby born so even names used only once in a year show up on the list. This map of popular baby names is a neat way of viewing this data.

Hey Chris
In an article a couple of years ago, we broke down a few more baby name numbers and showed how the name tail keeps on growing...
http://www.gelfmagazine.com/gelflog/archives/keeping_up_with_the_jacobs.php

Here's the relevant data:
2005
Most Popular Boy Name
Jacob (1.2%)
Most Popular Girl Name
Emily (1.2%)
Percentage of Boys given a Top 100 Name: 48.0%
Percentage of Girls given a Top 100 Name: 34.2%

1985
Most Popular Boy Name
Michael (3.4%)
Most Popular Girl Name
Jessica (2.6%)
Percentage of Boys given a Top 100 Name: 67.1%
Percentage of Girls given a Top 100 Name: 51.6%

1965
Most Popular Boy Name
Michael (4.3%)
Most Popular Girl Name
Lisa (3.3%)
Percentage of Boys given a Top 100 Name: 72.7%
Percentage of Girls given a Top 100 Name: 57.9%

1945
Most Popular Boy Name
James (5.4%)
Most Popular Girl Name
Mary (4.4%)
Percentage of Boys given a Top 100 Name: 75.4%
Percentage of Girls given a Top 100 Name: 65.8%

Thought your readers might be interested
Thanks
David Goldenberg
www.gelfmagazine.com

i read an U.S name guide o 1994, where they made a ranking of the names...
i remember that the "worst" male name was "René" and the best girl name was "Brittany"

interesting...

I recall that the French took an active approach to this matter by simply truncating the tail - not sure they're still doing it today, but until recently they had this law that mandated baby names must be chosen from a rather short list of "properly French" names. I'd be interesting in the data for that country...

The flattening of the given name popularity distribution has been ongoing for about two-hundred years.

The tail would be truncated in the States too, but for the relatively recent top-down, media-driven taboo against personal name criticism. It functions like a personal name subsidy, flooding the market with so many handles that a signal, the one where parents indicate what values they wish to instill in their children, is scrambled, and their message is lost. Yes! The only ones who have any business inculcating values in children are the state, the child's peers, the child's teachers, and any other stranger with whom the child is legally allowed contact.

I have long loved this fun tool! What I especially like is seeing how tv shows and movies may have influenced name popularity: check out Ariel, Ursula, and Emma (Rachel's baby on Friends).

I'd like to know how many baby names appear in baby name books each year and if that number fluctuates or has any influence on the concentration of popular baby names. Or if online baby name tools becoming more popular (or coming into existence) have some sort of influence on helping people choose a more diverse set of names in the past few years.

i think it's one of the best programs to check the popularity of the names.

New Zealand is also truncating the tail: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/7522952.stm

But in those cases, it's for a very good reason, and I don't think they're truncating enough. Apparently, the name "Number 16 Bus Shelter" survived a legal challenge. Geez.

New Zealand is also truncating the tail: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/7522952.stm

But in those cases, it's for a very good reason, and I don't think they're truncating enough. Apparently, the name "Number 16 Bus Shelter" survived a legal challenge. Geez.

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